{"id":111,"date":"2017-06-02T19:22:00","date_gmt":"2017-06-02T19:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/wordpress\/roguerhet\/?p=111"},"modified":"2025-05-30T21:07:12","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T02:07:12","slug":"how-did-hillary-clinton-lose-wrong-question","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/2017\/06\/02\/how-did-hillary-clinton-lose-wrong-question\/","title":{"rendered":"How Did Hillary Clinton Lose? Wrong Question!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I understand the complaints about <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Hillary Clinton\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hillary_Clinton\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener wikipedia\">Hillary Clinton<\/a> and her loss to <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Donald Trump\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Donald_Trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener wikipedia\">Donald Trump<\/a>. But here&#8217;s a question everyone overlooks:<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>How did Trump win? <\/strong>Trump won, at least as much as Hillary lost.<\/em><\/p>\n<table class=\"tr-caption-container zemanta-img\" style=\"float: right;margin-right: 1em;text-align: right\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\n<div class=\"zemanta-img\"><a style=\"margin-bottom: 1em;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: clear:right\" href=\"http:\/\/commons.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/File:Hillary_Clinton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"zemanta-img-inserted zemanta-img-configured\" style=\"border: none;font-size: 0.8em\" src=\"\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/0\/03\/Hillary_Clinton.jpg\/350px-Hillary_Clinton.jpg\" alt=\"Hillary Clinton in Hampton, NH\" width=\"350\" height=\"350\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"tr-caption zemanta-img-attribution\" style=\"text-align: center;width: 350px\">Hillary Clinton in Hampton, NH (Photo credit: <a href=\"http:\/\/commons.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/File:Hillary_Clinton.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wikipedia<\/a>)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Trump beat how many GOP contenders? Trump beat the entire GOP establishment. He did this by doing everything &#8220;wrong&#8221; that Hillary and others complain about when looking at the <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Democratic National Committee\" href=\"https:\/\/www.democrats.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"homepage noopener\">DNC<\/a> and <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Republican National Committee\" href=\"https:\/\/gop.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"homepage noopener\">RNC<\/a> failures.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. No ground game<\/strong>. Seriously. Trump had nothing.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. No analytics<\/strong>. His team tried to create a serious data operation. They couldn&#8217;t. He would have ignored it anyway.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Strange campaign stops in states already secured<\/strong>. Trump went to places he was winning. He &#8220;wasted&#8221; plenty of trips.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4. Not connecting with &#8220;the little guy&#8221; on the trail<\/strong>. Heck, Trump went back to NYC nightly. He didn&#8217;t connect to anyone on a personal level.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5. Disorganized campaign<\/strong>. Ha. Team Clinton? Team Jeb? Team Rubio? They had nothing on the mess that was Team Trump. There was no team. Not really.<\/p>\n<p><strong>6. Convention disaster<\/strong>. Yeah. It was one of those destruction derby events. And it didn&#8217;t matter.<\/p>\n<p><strong>7. Scandals<\/strong>. Sorry, even if you believe email hurt Hillary, then you also have to wonder why a fraud settlement, sexism, racism, and mocking the disabled didn&#8217;t do anything to Trump. <a class=\"zem_slink\" title=\"Nate Silver\" href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"homepage noopener\">Nate Silver<\/a> argues Hillary lost 3% to scandals, and possibly the election. But, he also asks&#8230; &#8220;How was this even a three percentage point race? How did that happen?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>We can wonder how Hillary lost, but isn&#8217;t the bigger question how Trump won? Academics are studying the wrong question when they focus primarily on Clinton. How did Trump win is a good question and one we need to answer.<\/p>\n<p>Trump won with a campaign that reduced punditry to absurdity. He won. I can&#8217;t explain it. Pundits are still trying to pin the blame on Hillary, but before barely defeating Hillary the Trump style (whatever that is) crushed the GOP.<\/p>\n<p>We assume someone could have defeated Trump. I&#8217;m not sure. He defeated a rather long list of polished professionals.<\/p>\n<p>Blame whatever you want, but so far the data don&#8217;t support a Trump victory. Studies I&#8217;m reading today still cannot explain how Trump won the primary. He did not even win a majority of Republican votes. He won in open primaries.<\/p>\n<p>Trump did the improbable. Hillary should stop trying to blame anyone and everyone because none of it makes statistical sense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I understand the complaints about Hillary Clinton and her loss to Donald Trump. But here&#8217;s a question everyone overlooks: How did Trump win? Trump won,&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"more-link-wrapper\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/2017\/06\/02\/how-did-hillary-clinton-lose-wrong-question\/\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">How Did Hillary Clinton Lose? Wrong Question!<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":1148,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"iawp_total_views":6,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[7,9],"tags":[119,124,166,248,306],"class_list":["post-111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","category-policy","tag-trump","tag-elections","tag-clinton","tag-political-parties","tag-statistics","entry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/01\/RogueRhet_1200x630.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pfiwhV-1N","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1340,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111\/revisions\/1340"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tameri.com\/roguerhet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}