Election 2020 nears its end with relatively little change nationally. The House and Senate likely remain with a seat or two of their current divisions.…
Posts tagged as “FiveThirtyEight”
Joe Biden is likely to become the next president of the United States, winning from 315 to 360 electoral votes. Beyond the Electoral College, Biden…
People don’t trust polling, even though polling is impressively accurate and models improve year after year. If polls are so “scientific” then why do they…
Each work day, I listen to one or two podcasts as I drive to and from the university. My go-to podcasts each morning were the…
American voters don’t understand each other; they really do live in (at least) two separate worlds — and that’s just the Democrats and Republicans. The United…
Democrats face a steep climb in 2018, in both the House and the Senate. It’s easy to over-estimate the Trump Effect on 2018 elections, I…
Stop blaming polls or calling them “wrong” because only the Huffington Post polling was seriously flawed. Every other model actually offered accurate ranges of potential…